Firms and Labor Market Inequality: Evidence and Some Theory
Abstract
We synthesize two related literatures on firm-level drivers of wage inequality. Studies of rent sharing that use matched worker-firm data find elasticities of wages with respect to value added per worker in the range of 0.05–0.15. Studies of wage determination with worker and firm fixed effects typically find that firm-specific premiums explain 20% of overall wage variation. To interpret these findings, we develop a model of wage setting in which workers have idiosyncratic tastes for different workplaces. Simple versions of this model can rationalize standard fixed effects specifications and also match the typical rent-sharing elasticities in the literature.
I. Introduction
How much does where you work determine what you earn? In the standard competitive labor market model, firms take market wages as given, and firm-specific heterogeneity influences who is hired but not the level of pay of any particular worker. The pervasive influence of this perspective is evident in major reviews of the wage inequality literature (Katz and Autor 1999; Goldin and Katz 2009; Acemoglu and Autor 2011), which focuses almost exclusively on the role of market-level skill prices in driving inequality trends.1 This view stands in stark contrast to the industrial organization literature, which typically models markets as imperfectly competitive (Tirole 1988; Pakes 2016). Although economists seem to agree that part of the variation in the prices of cars and breakfast cereal is due to factors other than marginal cost, the notion that wages differ substantially among equally skilled workers remains highly controversial.
A long tradition in labor economics posits that employers have significant latitude to set wages (e.g., Robinson 1933; Lester 1946; Reynolds 1946; Slichter 1950), a view that found early support in empirical studies of industry wage differentials (Katz 1986; Krueger and Summers 1988; Katz and Summers 1989). Yet it has proven difficult to convincingly distinguish industry wage premia from subtle forms of dynamic sorting (Murphy and Topel 1990; Gibbons and Katz 1992; Gibbons et al. 2005). The growing availability of matched employer-employee data sets offers opportunities to study these questions at the more granular level of the firm. Nevertheless, many of the fundamental identification problems that plagued earlier studies carry over to these new data sets. This review summarizes what has been learned so far from these new data sets about the importance of firms in wage setting and what challenges remain.
Our starting point is the widely accepted finding that observably similar firms exhibit massive heterogeneity in measured productivity (e.g., Syverson 2011). A natural question is whether some of these productivity differences spill over to wages. The prima facie case for such a link seems quite strong: a number of recent studies find that trends in aggregate wage dispersion closely track trends in the dispersion of productivity across workplaces (Dunne et al. 2004; Faggio, Salvanes, and Van Reenen 2010; Barth et al. 2016). However, these aggregate relationships are potentially driven in part by changes in the degree to which different groups of workers are assigned to different firms.
Two distinct literatures attempt to circumvent the sorting issue using linked employer-employee data. The first literature studies the impact of shocks to firm productivity on the wages of workers. The resulting estimates are typically expressed as rent-sharing elasticities. A review of this literature suggests that estimated rent-sharing elasticities are surprisingly robust to the choice of productivity measure and labor market environment: most studies that control for worker heterogeneity find wage-productivity elasticities in the range of 0.05–0.15, although a few older studies find larger elasticities. We also provide some new evidence on the relationship between wages and firm-specific productivity using matched worker-firm data from Portugal. We investigate a number of specification issues that frequently arise in this literature, including the impact of filtering out industry-wide shocks, different approaches to measuring rents, and econometric techniques for dealing with unobserved worker heterogeneity.
A second literature that builds on the additive worker and firm effects wage model proposed by Abowd, Kramarz, and Margolis (1999; hereafter, AKM) uses data on wage outcomes as workers move between firms to estimate firm-specific pay premiums. This literature also finds that firms play an important role in wage determination, with a typical finding that about 20% of the variance of wages is attributable to stable firm wage effects. We discuss some of the issues that arise in implementing AKM’s two-way fixed effects estimator, which is the main tool used in this literature, and evidence on the validity of the assumptions underlying the AKM specification.
We then attempt to forge a more direct link between the rent-sharing literature and studies based on the AKM framework. Using data from Portugal we show that more productive firms pay higher average wage premiums but also tend to hire more productive workers. Indeed, we estimate that about 40% of the observed difference in average hourly wages between more and less productive firms is attributable to the differential sorting of higher-ability workers to more productive firms, underscoring the importance of controlling for worker heterogeneity. Consistent with the additive specification underlying the AKM model, we find that the wage premiums offered by more productive firms to more or less educated workers are very similar and that the relative wage of highly educated workers is remarkably stable across firms.
In the final section of the paper we develop a stylized model of imperfect competition in the labor market that provides a tractable framework for studying the implications of worker and firm heterogeneity for wage inequality. Our analysis builds on the static partial equilibrium monopsony framework introduced by Joan Robinson (1933), which, as noted by Manning (2011), captures many of the same economic forces as search models, albeit without providing a theory of worker flows between jobs. We provide a microeconomic foundation for imperfect labor market competition by allowing workers to have heterogeneous preferences over the work environments of different potential employers.2 This workplace differentiation can reflect heterogeneity in firm location, job characteristics (e.g., corporate culture, starting times for work), or other factors that are valued differently by different workers. Regardless of its source, such heterogeneity makes employers imperfect substitutes in the eyes of workers, which in turn gives firms some wage-setting power.
To capture this heterogeneity, we adopt a random utility model of worker preferences that characterizes firm-specific labor supply functions. We presume, as in Robinson’s analysis and much of the industrial organization literature, that the firm cannot price discriminate on the basis of a worker’s idiosyncratic preference for the firm’s work environment. Hence, rather than offer each worker her reservation wage (e.g., as in Postel-Vinay and Robin 2002), firms post a common wage for each skill group that is marked down from marginal product in inverse proportion to their elasticity of labor supply to the firm. This condition provides a natural analog to the equilibrium markups of price over marginal cost found in workhorse models of differentiated product demand and pricing (Berry 1994; Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes 1995; Pakes 2016).
We show that many well-documented empirical regularities can be rationalized in this framework. Firm heterogeneity in productivity affects not only the firm size distribution but also the distribution of firm-specific wage premiums and the degree of sorting of different skill groups across firms. Calibrating a simple version of the model to observed rent-sharing estimates yields predicted wage dispersion in excess of what has been found in a wide class of search models (Hornstein, Krusell, and Violante 2011). We also present conditions under which log wages are additively separable into worker and firm components, as in the pioneering econometric model of AKM. Specifically, we show that the firm-specific wage premium will be constant across skill groups if they are perfect substitutes in production and if different skill groups have a similar relative valuation for wages versus nonwage components in their assessment of alternative jobs. Even under these conditions, however, the market-level wage gap between skill groups will reflect differences in their employment distributions across more and less productive firms. More generally, groups that put a higher relative value on wages in comparing different jobs will receive a larger wage premium at more profitable firms.
We conclude with some thoughts on unresolved empirical and theoretical issues in the literature. An important challenge for empirical work on rent sharing is the identification of firm-specific shocks to productivity, because correlated shocks can yield market-level wage adjustments. In the firm-switching literature, a key question is whether conventionally estimated firm-specific pay premiums predict the wage changes associated with exogenously induced job accessions and separations. On the theoretical side, important questions include how to model strategic labor market interactions between firms and to what extent the insights from simple static wage-setting models of workplace differentiation carry over to dynamic labor market settings with search or mobility frictions.
II. Productivity, Wages, and Rent Sharing
A large empirical literature reviewed by Syverson (2011) documents that firms, like workers, exhibit vast heterogeneity in productivity. For example, Syverson (2004) finds that the 90th and 10th percentiles of total factor productivity (TFP) among US manufacturing firms differ by an average factor of approximately 2 within four-digit industries. Hsieh and Klenow (2009) find even larger productivity gaps in India and China, with 90/10 TFP ratios on the order of 5. While the variation in measured productivity probably overstates the true heterogeneity in plant-level efficiency, there is also strong evidence in the literature that measured productivity conveys real information. For example, measured TFP is a strong predictor of firm survival (Foster, Haltiwanger, and Syverson 2008).
It is natural to wonder whether these large productivity differences lead to differences in worker pay. In fact, an extensive literature has documented the existence of substantial wage differences across plants and establishments (Lester 1946; Slichter 1950; Davis and Haltiwanger 1991; Groshen 1991; Bernard and Jensen 1995; Cardoso 1997, 1999; Skans, Edin, and Holmlund 2009; Song et al. 2015) that are strongly correlated with basic measures of productivity. Nevertheless, economists have been reluctant to interpret these differences as wage premiums or rents, since it has been difficult to know how unobserved worker quality differs across plants.
Recent studies, however, have documented some striking links between establishment-level productivity and wage dispersion (Dunne et al. 2004; Faggio et al. 2010; Barth et al. 2016). Figure 1 plots results from Barth et al. (2016), showing remarkably similar trends in the dispersion of wages and productivity across business establishments in the United States. Taken at face value, these parallel trends are consistent with a roughly unit elasticity of establishment wages with respect to productivity (see Barth et al. 2016, S71). Of course, figure 1 does not tell us whether the composition of the workforce employed at these establishments is changing over time. What appear to be more productive establishments may simply be establishments that hire more skilled workers, which is fully consistent with the competitive labor market model in which all firms pay the same wages for any given worker. Trends in between-establishment dispersion in wages and productivity. Source: Barth et al. (2016).
A more direct attack on the question of whether firm-specific productivity differentials feed into differences in wages comes from the empirical literature on rent sharing. Table A1 describes 22 recent studies in this literature. The basic idea in these papers is to relate wages to some measure of employer profitability or rents. This is, in many respects, the analog of a large literature in international economics and industrial organization on the pass-through of cost shocks to prices. A typical finding in that literature is that shocks to marginal cost (typically measured via exchange rate fluctuations) yield muted fluctuations in product prices, signaling the presence of market power (Goldberg and Hellerstein 2013; Gorodnichenko and Talavera 2017). Most rent-sharing studies find similarly imperfect propagation of productivity shocks to wages. However, the elasticities reported in this literature are often sensitive to measurement issues, which we now review.
A. Measuring Rents
The empirical rent-sharing literature is motivated by an assumed structural relationship between wages and either profit per worker or a measure of quasi rent per worker. To facilitate discussion, suppose that there is a single type of labor at a firm j and that the wage (wj) is determined by a structural relationship of the form
We assume that TFPj is the driving source of variation that researchers are implicitly trying to model in the rent-sharing literature. Under this interpretation, firm-specific TFP shocks lead to changes in quasi rent per worker that cause wages to fall or rise relative to the alternative wage. The elasticity of wages with respect to an exogenous change in quasi rent per worker is
An important confounding factor in the rent-sharing literature is variation in worker quality. Firms that employ more highly skilled workers would be expected to have higher revenue per worker and value added per worker and also pay higher wages, leading to a potential upward bias in the measured rent-sharing elasticity in cross-sectional studies that compare different firms at a point in time. A similar bias can also arise in longitudinal studies that compare changes in firm-specific wages and profitability over time if there are unobserved changes in the skill characteristics of workers. For this reason, when we summarize the studies in the literature, we classify studies based on whether the research design includes controls for unobserved worker skills.
B. A Summary of the Rent-Sharing Literature
Table 1 synthesizes the estimated rent-sharing elasticities from the 22 studies listed in Table A1, extracting one or two preferred specifications from each study and adjusting all elasticities to an approximate value added per worker basis.5 We divide the studies into three broad generations on the basis of the level of aggregation in the measures of rents and wages.
| Study | Country/Industry | Estimated Elasticity | Standard Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group 1—Industry-level profit measure: | |||
| Christofides and Oswald 1992 | Canadian manufacturing | .140 | .035 |
| Blanchflower, Oswald, and Sanfey 1996 | US manufacturing | .060 | .024 |
| Estevao and Tevlin 2003 | US manufacturing | .290 | .100 |
| Group 2—Firm-level profit measure, mean firm wage: | |||
| Abowd and Lemieux 1993 | Canadian manufacturing | .220 | .081 |
| Van Reenen 1996 | UK manufacturing | .290 | .089 |
| Hildreth and Oswald 1997 | United Kingdom | .040 | .010 |
| Hildreth 1998 | UK manufacturing | .030 | .010 |
| Barth et al. 2016 | United States | .160 | .002 |
| Group 3—Firm-level profit measure, individual-specific wage: | |||
| Margolis and Salvanes 2001 | French manufacturing | .062 | .041 |
| Margolis and Salvanes 2001 | Norwegian manufacturing | .024 | .006 |
| Arai 2003 | Sweden | .020 | .004 |
| Guiso et al. 2005 | Italy | .069 | .025 |
| Fakhfakh and FitzRoy 2004 | French manufacturing | .120 | .045 |
| Du Caju et al. 2011 | Belgium | .080 | .010 |
| Martins 2009 | Portuguese manufacturing | .039 | .021 |
| Gürtzgen 2009 | Germany | .048 | .002 |
| Cardoso and Portela 2009 | Portugal | .092 | .045 |
| Arai and Heyman 2009 | Sweden | .068 | .002 |
| Card et al. 2014 | Italy (Veneto region) | .073 | .031 |
| Carlsson et al. 2014 | Swedish manufacturing | .149 | .057 |
| Card et al. 2016 | Portugal, between firm | .156 | .006 |
| Card et al. 2016 | Portugal, within job | .049 | .007 |
| Bagger et al. 2014 | Danish manufacturing | .090 | .020 |
The first group of studies, which includes two influential papers from the early 1990s, uses industry-wide measures of productivity and either individual-level or firm-wide average wages. The average rent-sharing elasticity in this group is 0.16. A second generation of studies includes five papers, mostly from the mid-1990s, that use firm- or establishment-specific measures of rents but measure average wages of employees at the workplace level. The average rent-sharing elasticity in this group is 0.15, although there is a relatively wide range of variation across the studies. Given the likely problems caused by variation in worker quality, we suspect that most first-generation and second-generation studies yield upward-biased estimates of the rent-sharing elasticity.
A third generation of studies consists of 18 relatively recent papers that study the link between firm- or establishment-specific measures of rents and individual-specific wages. Many of these studies attempt to control for variation in worker quality, in some cases by studying the effect of changes in measured rents on changes in wages. In this group the mean rent-sharing elasticity is 0.08, although a few studies report rent-sharing elasticities that are 0.05 or smaller. To quantify the potential role of rent sharing in the overall dispersion of wages, note that the standard deviation of average value added per worker across firms in the Portuguese data that we analyze in the next section is about 0.70, with a spread between the 90th and 10th percentiles of around 1.6. An elasticity of 0.08 implies that the variation in productivity across firms creates a Lester range of wage variability (Lester 1952) of about 13 log points between firms at the 90th and 10th percentiles.
Although significant progress has been made in this literature, none of these studies is entirely satisfactory. Very few studies have clear exogenous sources of variation in productivity. Most papers (e.g., Guiso, Pistaferri, and Schivardi 2005; Carlsson, Messina, and Skans 2014; Card, Cardoso, and Kline 2016) rely on timing assumptions about the stochastic process driving productivity to justify using lags as instruments. A notable exception is Van Reenen (1996), who studies the effects of major firm innovations on employee wages. He finds a very large rent-sharing elasticity of 0.29, but this figure may be upward biased by skill upgrading on the part of innovative firms, a concern he could not address with aggregate data. Other studies (e.g., Abowd and Lemieux 1993; Card et al. 2014) use industry-level shocks as instruments for productivity. However, these instruments may violate the exclusion restriction if labor supply to the sector is inelastic, since even fully competitive models predict that industry-level shocks can yield equilibrium wage responses. Moreover, industry-level shocks might yield general equilibrium responses that change worker’s outside options (Beaudry, Green, and Sand 2012). Finally, with the move to matched employer-employee micro data, economists have had to contend with serious measurement error problems that emerge when constructing plant-level productivity measures. It remains to be seen whether instrumenting using lags fully resolves these issues.
C. Specification Issues: A Replication in Portuguese Data
To supplement the estimates in the literature and probe the impact of different design choices on the magnitude of the resulting elasticities, we conducted our own analysis of rent-sharing effects using matched employer-employee data from Portugal. The wage data for this exercise come from Quadros de Pessoal (QP), a census of private sector employees conducted each October by the Portuguese Ministry of Employment. We merge these data to firm-specific financial information from the Sistema de Analisis de Balances Ibericos (SABI) database, distributed by Bureau van Dijk.6 We select all male employees observed between 2005 and 2009 who work in a given year at a firm in the SABI database with valid information on sales per worker for each year from 2004 to 2010 and on value added per worker for each year from 2005 to 2009.
Panel A of Table 2 presents a series of specifications in which we relate the log hourly wage observed for a worker in a given year (between 2005 and 2009) to mean log value added per worker or mean log sales per worker at his employer, averaged over the sample period. These are simple cross-sectional rent-sharing models in which we use an averaged measure of rents at the employer to smooth out the transitory fluctuations and measurement errors in the financial data. In row 1 we present models using mean log value added per worker as the measure of rents; in row 2 we use mean log sales per worker; and in row 3 we use mean log value added per worker over the 2005–2009 period but instrument this with mean log sales per worker over a slightly wider window (2004–2010). For each choice we show a basic specification (with only basic human capital controls) in column 1, a richer specification with controls for major industry and city in column 2, and a full specification with dummies for 202 detailed industries and 29 regions in column 3.
| Basic Specification (1) | Basic + Major Industry/City (2) | Basic + Detailed Industry/City (3) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cross-sectional models (worker-year observations, 2005–9): | |||
| OLS: rent measure = mean log value added per worker, 2005–9 | .270 | .241 | .207 |
| (.017) | (.015) | (.011) | |
| OLS: rent measure = mean log sales per worker, 2005–9 | .153 | .171 | .159 |
| (.009) | (.007) | (.004) | |
| IV: rent measure = mean log value added per worker, 2005–9; instrument = mean log sales per worker, 2004–10 | .327 | .324 | .292 |
| (.014) | (.011) | (.008) | |
| First-stage coefficient | .475 | .541 | .562 |
| (t = 26.19) | (t = 40.72) | (t = 64.38) | |
| B. Within-job models (change in wages from 2005 to 2009 for stayers): | |||
| OLS: rent measure = change in log value added per worker from 2005 to 2009 | .041 | .039 | .034 |
| (.006) | (.005) | (.003) | |
| OLS: rent measure = change in log sales per worker from 2005 to 2009 | .015 | .014 | .013 |
| (.005) | (.004) | (.003) | |
| IV: rent measure = change in log value added per worker from 2005 to 2009; instrument = change in log sales per worker, 2004–10 | .061 | .059 | .056 |
| (.018) | (.017) | (.016) | |
| First-stage coefficient | .221 | .217 | .209 |
| (t = 11.82) | (t = 13.98) | (t = 18.63) |
Two main conclusions emerge from these simple models. First, the rent-sharing elasticity is systematically larger when rents are measured by value added per worker than by sales per worker.7 Second, the rent-sharing elasticities from this approach are relatively large. Interestingly, the 0.20–0.30 range of estimates is comparable to the range of the studies in groups 1 and 2 of Table 1.
An obvious concern with the specifications used in panel A is that they fail to fully control for variation in worker quality. As discussed above, this is likely to lead to an upward bias in the relationship between wages and value added per worker. The specifications in panel B of Table 2 partially address this by examining the effect of changes in firm-specific rents on changes in wages for workers who remain at the firm over the period from 2005 to 2009, a within-job or stayers design. We present three sets of specifications of this design. The models in row 4 measure the change in rents by the change in log value added per worker. The models in row 5 use the change in log sales per worker. The models in row 6 use the change in value added per worker as the measure of rents but instrument the change using the change in sales per worker over a slightly wider interval to reduce the impact of measurement errors in value added.8
Relative to the cross-sectional models, the within-job models yield substantially smaller rent-sharing elasticities. This difference is likely due to some combination of unobserved worker quality in the cross-sectional designs (which leads to an upward bias in these specifications), measurement error (which causes a larger downward bias in the stayer designs), and the fact that value-added fluctuations may include a transitory component that firms insure workers against (Guiso et al. 2005).9 The discrepancy is particularly large for ordinary least squares (OLS) models using sales per worker (compare rows 2 and 5 of Table 2): the elasticity for stayers is only about one-tenth as large as the cross-sectional elasticity. We suspect that measurement errors and transitory fluctuations in annual sales are relatively large, and the impact of these factors is substantially magnified in the within-job specifications estimated by OLS. Given the presence of errors and idiosyncratic fluctuations, we prefer the instrumental variables (IV) estimates in row 6, which point toward a rent-sharing elasticity of approximately 0.06.
An interesting feature of both the OLS and the IV within-job estimates is that the addition of detailed industry controls reduces the rent-sharing elasticity by 10%–20%. Since these industry dummies absorb industry-wide productivity shocks that are shared by the firms in the same sector, we conclude that the rent-sharing elasticity with respect to firm-specific productivity shocks (which is estimated by the models in col. 3) is somewhat smaller than the elasticity with respect to sector-wide shocks (which are incorporated in the elasticities in the models in col. 1). If true more generally, this suggests that the use of industry-wide rent measures will lead to somewhat larger rent-sharing elasticities than would be obtained using firm-specific productivity measures and controlling for industry-wide trends. A similar conclusion is reported by Carlsson et al. (2014).
Overall, we conclude that the estimated elasticities of wages with respect to value added per worker in Portugal are comparable in magnitude to the estimates in the existing rent-sharing literature summarized in Table 1. A typical estimate in our data and the literature from specifications that control for worker quality is between 0.05 and 0.10, although there are a few estimates on each side of this range.
III. Firm Switching
While the rent-sharing literature documents a strong correlation between firm profitability and pay, a parallel literature finds that workers who move between firms (or establishments) experience wage gains or losses that are highly predictable. In this section we provide an overview of recent findings from this approach and discuss some of the major issues in this literature. In the following section we discuss how the firm-specific wage premiums estimated by studies of firm switching are related to measures of firm profitability, providing a link between the rent-sharing and firm-switching literatures.
A. AKM Models
In their seminal study of the French labor market, Abowd et al. (1999) specified a model for log wages that includes additive effects for workers and firms. Specifically, their model for the log wage of person i in year t takes the form
Estimates of AKM-style models on population-level administrative data sets from a variety of different countries have found that the firm effects in these models typically explain 15%–25% of the variance of wages, less than the person effects but enough to indicate that firm-specific wage setting is important for wage inequality.10 One problem with this assessment is that the person and firm effects are estimated with considerable imprecision, which means that the explanatory power of firms will typically be somewhat overstated, a problem that was also recognized in the earlier literature on industry wage differentials (Krueger and Summers 1988). Andrews et al. (2008) provide an approach to dealing with this problem that we discuss in more detail below.
If different firms pay different wage premiums, the pattern of sorting of workers to firms will also matter for overall wage inequality. In particular, the variance of log wages is
An alternative decomposition uses the fact that
B. Identifying Age and Time Effects
A technical issue that arises with the AKM model is appropriate specification of the effects of age. Following Mincer (1974), it is conventional to include a polynomial in age or potential experience (age minus education minus 6) in Xit. However, it is also standard to include a set of year indicators in Xit to adjust for changing macroeconomic conditions. This raises an identification problem because age (ait) can be computed as calendar year (t) minus birth year (bi). Hence, we face the classic problem of distinguishing additive age, year, and cohort effects, where cohort effects are understood to load into the person effects.
In their original paper, Abowd et al. (1999) solved this problem by using actual labor market experience (i.e., the number of years the worker had positive earnings since entering the labor market), which, if some employment histories have gaps, will not be perfectly collinear with year and person dummies. While in some respects this provides a simple fix to the problem, there are two important drawbacks. First, it is not always possible to reconstruct a worker’s employment history both because some data sets do not always go far enough back to cover the cohorts of interest and because some data sets report only point-in-time measures of employment (e.g., who was on the payroll in October) rather than a complete history of all employment spells in all years. Second, it is not clear that employment gaps are exogenous, even conditional on a person effect. For example, leaving employment for an entire year could reflect severe health shocks that directly influence earnings ability and confound estimation of relative firm pay.
An alternative approach to dealing with this problem is to impose a linear restriction on the effects of age or time. While the firm effects are invariant to how age and time effects are normalized, different normalizations will yield different values of the person effects and the covariate index . Card et al. (2013) allow for separate third-order polynomials in age by education group along with unrestricted year effects. To obtain identification, they restrict the age profile to be flat at age 40. This is accomplished by omitting the linear age term for each education group and using a cubic polynomial in . The same restriction is used by Card et al. (2016). While this restriction is unlikely to hold exactly, there is reason to believe it provides a good approximation to the shape of the age-earnings profile.11
Table 3 examines the sensitivity of the results of Card et al. (2016) to four alternate normalizations of the age effects. The first column shows the baseline normalization, which attributes a relatively small fraction of the overall variance of wages to the time-varying individual component of wages. Renormalizing the age profile to be flat at age 50 (col. 2) has little effect on this conclusion, whereas renormalizing the profile to be flat at age 30 leads to a slightly larger variance share for the time-varying component and also implies a relatively strong negative correlation between the person effects and the index . Normalizing the age profile to be flat at age 0—which is what is being done by simply omitting the linear term from an uncentered age polynomial—exacerbates this pattern and leads to a decomposition that suggests that the variances of αi and are both very large and that the two components are strongly negatively correlated.12Figure 2 contrasts the implied age profiles for four single year-of-birth cohorts of low-education men from this naive specification, with the implied profiles for the same groups under the baseline normalization. Evidently, the strong negative correlation between the person effects and the covariate index reported in column 4 of Table 3 is driven by implausibly large cohort effects, which trend in a way to offset the imposed assumption that the cubic age profile is flat at age 0.
| Cubic Age Function Flat | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age 40 (Baseline) (1) | Age 50 (2) | Age 30 (3) | Age 0 (4) | Gaussian Basis Function (5) | |
| SD of person effects (across person-year observations) | .42 | .41 | .46 | .93 | .44 |
| SD of firm effects (across person-year observations) | .25 | .25 | .25 | .25 | .25 |
| SD of Xb (across person-year observations) | .07 | .10 | .12 | .74 | .08 |
| Correlation of person/firm effects | .17 | .16 | .17 | .14 | .17 |
| Correlation of person effects and covariate index | .19 | .19 | −.32 | −.89 | −.06 |
| Correlation of firm effects and covariate index | .11 | .14 | −.03 | −.08 | .04 |
| Inequality decomposition (percentage of variance of log wage explained): | |||||
| Person effects + covariate index | 63 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 63 |
| Person effects | 58 | 54 | 70 | 282 | 62 |
| Covariate index | 2 | 3 | 4 | 180 | 2 |
| Covariate of person effects and covariate index | 3 | 5 | −11 | −399 | −1 |
| Firm effects | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| Covariance of firm effects with person effect + covariate index | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Covariance of firm effects with person effects | 11 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 12 |
| Covariance of firm effects with covariate index | 1 | 2 | −1 | −9 | 0 |
| Residual | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |

Implied age profiles from Abowd, Kramarz, and Margolis (1999) models with alternative normalizations of the age profile (men with primary education only).
Rather than restricting the age profile to be flat at a point, we can also achieve identification by assuming that the true profile is everywhere nonlinear. Column 5 shows the results of using a linear combination of normal density functions in age (with 5-year bandwidths) to approximate the age profile.13 Because each Gaussian component is nonlinear, we do not need restrictions on the parameters to avoid collinearity with cohort and time effects. Nevertheless, using Gaussian basis functions will solve the identification problem only if the true age profile has no linear segments. As shown in column 5, the Gaussian approximation yields results somewhere between our baseline normalization and the specification in column 3: although the estimated variability of the worker, firm, and time-varying components is very close to baseline, the correlation of the person effects and becomes slightly negative. Fortunately, the covariance of the person and firm effects is essentially the same under our baseline normalization and the Gaussian specification, leading us to conclude that most of the statistics of interest in this literature found under an age 40 normalization are robust to alternate identifying assumptions.
To summarize: in comparing results from different applications of the AKM framework researchers should pay close attention to the choice of normalization. The values of the person effects (i.e., the αi’s) and the time-varying controls (i.e., ) are not separately identified when Xit includes both year effects and a linear age term. The choice of normalization has no effect on estimates of , , or the covariance term , but as shown in Table 3, it will affect the estimated covariance of the person and firm effects and the relative magnitudes of and .
C. Worker-Firm Sorting and Limited Mobility Bias
In their original study, Abowd et al. (1999) reported a negative correlation between the estimated worker and firm effects, suggesting that sorting of workers to different firms tended to reduce rather than increase overall wage inequality. Subsequent research, however, has typically found positive correlations. For example, Abowd et al. (2003) report a correlation of 0.08 for US workers, while Card et al. (2013) report a correlation of 0.23 for male German workers in the 2000s. As discussed by Abowd et al. (2004) and Andrews et al. (2008), these correlations are biased down in finite samples with the size of the bias depending inversely on the degree of worker mobility among firms. Maré and Hyslop (2006) and Andrews et al. (2012) show convincingly that this limited-mobility bias can be substantial. In sampling experiments they find that the correlation of the estimated effects becomes more negative when the AKM model is estimated on smaller subsets of the available data. While Andrews et al. (2008) and Gaure (2014) provide approaches to correcting for this downward bias in the correlation (and the upward biases in the estimated variances of person and firm effects), their procedures require a complete specification of the covariance structure of the time-varying errors, which makes such corrections highly model dependent.14 The development of corrections that are robust to unmodeled dependence and heteroscedasticity is an important priority for future research.
D. Exogenous Mobility
Abowd et al.’s (1999) additive worker and firm effect specification is simple and tractable. Nevertheless, it has been widely criticized because OLS estimates of worker and firm effects will be biased unless worker mobility is uncorrelated with the time-varying residual components of wages. In an attempt to provide some transparent evidence on this issue, Card et al. (2013) develop a simple event study analysis of the wage changes experienced by workers moving between different groups of firms. Rather than rely on a model-based grouping, Card et al. (2013) define firm groups on the basis of the average pay of coworkers. If the AKM model is correct and firms offer proportional wage premiums for all their employees, then workers who move to firms with more highly paid coworkers will on average experience pay raises, while those who move in the opposite direction will experience pay cuts. Moreover, the gains and losses for movers in opposite directions between any two groups of firms will be symmetric. In contrast, models of mobility linked to the worker- and firm-specific match component of wages (e.g., Eeckhout and Kircher 2011) imply that movers will tend to experience positive wage gains regardless of the direction of their move, violating the symmetry prediction.
Figures 3 and 4 present the results of this analysis using data for male and female workers in Portugal, taken from Card et al. (2016). The samples are restricted to workers who switch establishments and have at least 2 years of tenure at both the origin and destination firm. Firms are grouped into coworker pay quartiles (using data on male and female coworkers). For clarity, only the wage profiles of workers who move from jobs in quartile 1 and quartile 4 are shown in the figures. The wage profiles exhibit clear steplike patterns: when workers move to higher-paying establishments, their wages rise; when they move to lower-paying establishments, their wages fall. For example, males who start at a firm in the lowest quartile group and move to a firm in the top quartile have average wage gains of 39 log points, while those who move in the opposite direction have average wage losses of 43 log points. The gains and losses for other matched pairs of moves are also roughly symmetric, while the wage changes for people who stay in the same coworker pay group are close to 0. Mean log wages of Portuguese male job changers classified by quartile of coworker wages at origin and destination. The figure shows mean wages of male workers at mixed-gender firms who changed jobs in 2004–7 and held the preceding job for 2 years or more and the new job for 2 years or more. Jobs are classified into quartiles based on mean log wage of coworkers of both genders. Source: Card et al. (2016, fig. I). Mean wages of Portuguese female job changers classified by quartile of coworker wages at origin and destination. The figure shows mean wages of female workers at mixed-gender firms who changed jobs in 2004–7 and held the preceding job for 2 years or more and the new job for 2 years or more. Jobs are classified into quartiles based on mean log wage of coworkers of both genders. Source: Card et al. (2016, fig. II).

Another important feature of the wage profiles in figures 3 and 4 is that wages of the various groups are all relatively stable in the years before and after a job move. Workers who are about to experience a major wage loss by moving to a firm in a lower coworker pay group show no obvious trend in wages beforehand. Similarly, workers who are about to experience a major wage gain by moving to a firm in a higher pay group show no evidence of a pretrend. By contrast, if worker mobility were driven by gradual employer learning, we would expect wage changes to precede moves between firm quality groups over the time horizons examined (Lange 2007).
Card et al. (2016) also present simple tests of the symmetry restrictions imposed by the AKM specification, using regression-adjusted wage changes of males and females moving between firms in the four coworker pay groups. Comparisons of upward and downward movers are displayed visually in figure 5 and show that the matched pairs of adjusted wage changes are roughly scattered along a line with slope of −1, consistent with the symmetry restriction. A, Test for symmetry of regression-adjusted wage changes of Portuguese male movers across coworker wage quartiles. The figure plots regression-adjusted mean wage changes over a 4-year interval for job changers who move across the coworker wage quartile groups indicated. The dashed line represents symmetric changes for upward and downward movers. Source: Card et al. (2016, fig. B3). B, Test for symmetry of regression-adjusted wage changes of Portuguese female movers across coworker wage quartiles. The figure plots regression-adjusted mean wage changes over a 4-year interval for job changers who move across the coworker wage quartile groups indicated. The dashed line represents symmetric changes for upward and downward movers. Source: Card et al. (2016, fig. B4).
Similar figures can be constructed using firm groupings based on the estimated pay effects obtained from an AKM model. As shown in Card et al. (2013, their fig. VII), applying this approach to data for German males yields the same conclusions as an analysis based on coworker pay groups. Macis and Schivardi (2016) report such diagnostics using social security earnings data for Italian workers and confirm that wage profiles of movers exhibit the same steplike patterns found in Germany and Portugal.
E. Additive Separability
Another concern with the AKM model is that it presumes common proportional firm wage effects for all workers. One way to evaluate the empirical plausibility of the additive AKM specification is to examine the pattern of mean residuals for different groups of workers and firms. Figures 6 and 7, taken from Card et al. (2016), show the mean residuals for 100 cells on the basis of deciles of the estimated worker effects and deciles of the estimated firm effects. If the additive model is correct, the residuals should have mean 0 for matches composed of any grouping of worker and firm effects, while if the firm effects vary systematically with worker skill, we expect departures from 0. Reassuringly, the mean residuals are all relatively close to 0. In particular, there is no evidence that the most able workers (in the 10th decile of the distribution of estimated person effects) earn higher premiums at the highest-paying firms (in the 10th decile of the distribution of estimated firm effects). The largest mean residuals are for the lowest-ability workers in the lowest paying firms, an effect that may reflect the impact of the minimum wage in Portugal. Residual plots for workers and firms in Germany (reported by Card et al. [2013]) and in Italy (reported by Macis and Schivardi [2016]) also show no evidence of systematic departures from the predictions of a simple AKM-style model. Mean residuals by person/firm deciles for Portuguese male workers. The figure shows mean residuals from an estimated Abowd, Kramarz, and Margolis (1999) model with cells defined by decile of estimated firm effects interacted with decile of estimated person effect. Source: Card et al. (2016, fig. B5). Mean residuals by person/firm deciles for Portuguese female workers. The figure shows mean residuals from an estimated Abowd, Kramarz, and Margolis (1999) model with cells defined by decile of estimated firm effects interacted with decile of estimated person effect. Source: Card et al. (2016, fig. B6).

A different approach to assessing the additive separability assumption comes from Bonhomme, Lamadon, and Manresa (2015), who estimate a worker-firm model with discrete heterogeneity where each pairing of worker and firm type is allowed a different wage effect. Their results indicate that an additive model provides a very good approximation to Swedish employer-employee data; allowing interactions between worker and firm type yields a trivial (0.8%) increase in explained wage variance. Lochner and Schulz (2016) reach a similar conclusion using information on relative wage rankings inside the firm and firm value added to infer worker and firm types. They find, using German data, that additive separability provides a good approximation to the wage structure, except for the lowest-skilled workers.
Although these results suggest that firm effects are, on average, similar for different types of workers, there is of course scope for differences to emerge in selected subpopulations. For example, Goldschmidt and Schmieder (2015) find in large German firms that food, cleaning, security, and logistics (FCSL) workers exhibit different wage fixed effects than other occupations. Specifically, the firm wage effects of FCSL workers are attenuated relative to non-FCSL workers. Likewise, Card et al. (2016) find that Portuguese women exhibit slightly attenuated firm effects relative to men, which they argue reflects gender differences in bargaining behavior.
IV. Reconciling Rent-Sharing Estimates with Results from Studies of Firm Switching
In their original study, Abowd et al. (1999) showed that the estimated firm-specific wage premiums were positively correlated with measures of firm profitability, including value added per worker and sales per worker. A number of more recent studies have also confirmed that there is a positive link between firm-specific pay policies and productivity (e.g., Cahuc, Postel-Vinay, and Robin 2006; Bagger, Christensen, and Mortensen 2014).
To further bridge the gap between the rent-sharing literature and the firm-wage effects literatures, we conducted a simple exercise using data on male workers in Portugal observed in the QP between 2005 and 2009 (i.e., the same data used in panel A of Table 2). The AKM model posits that the log of the wage of a given worker in a given year can be decomposed into the sum of a person effect, a firm or establishment effect, a time-varying index of person characteristics, and a residual that is orthogonal to the firm and person effects. It follows that the rent-sharing elasticity obtained from a regression of wages on a time-invariant measure of rents at the current employer (γw) can be decomposed into the sum of three components reflecting the regression on firm-specific rents of the estimated worker effects (γα), the estimated firm effects (γψ), and the time-varying covariate index (γXβ):
To implement this idea, we use the estimated AKM parameters from Card et al. (2016), which were estimated on a sample that includes virtually all the observations used for the cross-sectional models in panel A of Table 2.15 The results are presented in panel A of Table 4. Row 1 of the table reports estimated rent-sharing elasticities using the log hourly wage of each worker as a dependent variable. As in Table 2, we report three specifications corresponding to models with only simple human capital controls (col. 1), controls for major industry and city (col. 2), and controls for detailed industry and location (col. 3). The estimated rent-sharing elasticities in row 1 are qualitatively similar to the estimates in row 1 of Table 2 but differ slightly because the AKM model estimates are not available for all workers/firms. Rows 2–4 show how the overall rent-sharing elasticities in row 1 can be decomposed into a worker quality effect (row 2), a firm wage premium effect (row 3), and an experience-related sorting effect (row 4), which is close to 0.
| Basic Specification (1) | Basic + Major Industry/City (2) | Basic + Detailed Industry/City (3) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Combined sample (n = 2,252,436 person-year observations at 41,120 firms): | |||
| Log hourly wage | .250 | .222 | .187 |
| (.018) | (.016) | (.012) | |
| Estimated person effect | .107 | .093 | .074 |
| (.010) | (.009) | (.006) | |
| Estimated firm effect | .137 | .123 | .107 |
| (.011) | (.009) | (.008) | |
| Estimated covariate index | .001 | .001 | .001 |
| (.000) | (.000) | (.000) | |
| B. Less educated workers (n = 1,674,676 person-year observations at 36,179 firms): | |||
| Log hourly wage | .239 | .211 | .181 |
| (.017) | (.016) | (.011) | |
| Estimated person effect | .089 | .072 | .069 |
| (.009) | (.009) | (.005) | |
| Estimated firm effect | .144 | .133 | .107 |
| (.015) | (.013) | (.008) | |
| Estimated covariate index | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| (.000) | (.000) | (.000) | |
| C. More educated workers (n = 577,760 person-year observations at 17,615 firms): | |||
| Log hourly wage | .275 | .247 | .196 |
| (.024) | (.020) | (.017) | |
| Estimated person effect | .137 | .130 | .094 |
| (.016) | (.013) | (.009) | |
| Estimated firm effect | .131 | .113 | .099 |
| (.012) | (.009) | (.010) | |
| Estimated covariate index | −.001 | −.001 | −.001 |
| (.000) | (.000) | (.000) |
A key conclusion from these estimates is that rent-sharing elasticities estimated from a cross-sectional specification incorporate a sizable worker quality bias. In each column of Table 4, roughly 40% of the overall wage elasticity in row 1 is due to the correlation of worker quality (measured by the person effect component of wages) with firm-specific quality. Adjusting for worker quality, the estimates in row 3 point to a rent-sharing elasticity in the range of 0.10–0.15, large enough to create a Lester range of wage variation of 16–24 log points associated with the differences between firms at the 90th and 10th percentiles of log value added per worker.
While the AKM approach reduces the estimated rent-sharing elasticities substantially, the estimates in row 3 of Table 4 are still substantially larger than the within-job elasticities reported in panel B of Table 2. There are several possible explanations for this gap. One is that the within-job estimates are biased downward by measurement errors, which comprise a potentially large share of the variance in relatively short-horizon changes in rents. A related explanation, emphasized by Guiso et al. (2005), is that wages tend to adjust less to purely transitory fluctuations than to persistent changes in productivity.16 To the extent that industry-wide productivity shifts are more persistent than firm-specific within-industry shifts, this explanation can also account for the pattern of smaller elasticities when more detailed industry controls are added to a rent-sharing model.
A third explanation is that some share of the firm-specific wage premium paid by more productive firms is a compensating differential for extra work effort or less desirable working conditions (Rosen 1986; Hwang, Mortensen, and Reed 1998). How much of the gap between firm-stayer designs and worker-switching designs such motives can explain remains an open question (Bonhomme and Jolivet 2009; Sorkin 2015; Lavetti and Schmutte 2016; Taber and Vejlin 2016). In a recent field experiment, Mas and Pallais (2016) find that workers are not willing to pay much for scheduling flexibility but are willing to pay to avoid working evenings and weekends. In line with this evidence, Card et al. (2016, their table B6) examine the relationship between average hours of work and the estimated pay premiums offered by different firms in Portugal and find no evidence of compensating differentials for long hours. Nevertheless, we cannot rule out some role for compensating differentials, which would imply that the estimates in row 3 of Table 4 may overstate the true rent-sharing elasticity. What is clear is that jobs with higher wage premiums last significantly longer (Card, Heining, and Kline 2012, their table 8), which we take as providing relatively strong evidence that the AKM firm effect estimates capture a significant rent component.
A. Differential Rent Sharing
We can use the AKM framework to examine another interesting question: to what extent do different groups of workers receive larger or smaller shares of the rents at different firms? To do this, we fit separate AKM models for less educated men (with less than a high school education) and more educated men (with a high school education or more) to our Portuguese wage sample. We then reestimated the same rent-sharing specifications reported in panel A of Table 4 separately for the two groups. The results are reported in panels B and C of Table 4.
The estimates reveal several interesting patterns. Most importantly, although the correlation between wages and value added per worker is a little higher for the more educated men, virtually all of this gap is due to a stronger correlation between the worker quality component of wages and value added. The correlations with the firm-specific pay premiums are very similar for the two education groups. Thus, we see no evidence of differential rent sharing.
This finding is illustrated in figure 8, which shows a binned scatterplot of mean log value added per worker at different firms (on the horizontal axis) versus the relative wage premium for high-educated versus low-educated men at these firms. We also superimpose a bin-scatter of the relative share of higher-education workers at different firms (including both men and women in the employment counts for the two education groups). The relative wage premium is virtually flat, consistent with the regression coefficients in rows 7 and 11 of Table 4, which show nearly the same effect of value added per worker on the wage premiums for the two education groups. In contrast, the relative share of highly educated workers is increasing with value added per worker, a pattern we interpret as largely driven by the labor quality component in value added per worker.17 Relative wage premium and relative employment of high- versus low-education workers. Firms are divided into 100 cells on the basis of mean log value added per worker in 2005–9, with equal numbers of person-year observations per cell.
V. Imperfectly Competitive Labor Markets and Inequality
With this background in mind, we now turn to the task of developing a simple modeling framework that is useful for organizing and interpreting the empirical literature on firm-specific productivity and wage dispersion. In contrast to much of the rent-sharing literature, we assume that wages are set by employers to maximize profits, subject to constraints on the relationship between wages and the supply of labor. Rather than build a model of the supply side based on search frictions, we follow the industrial organization literature by working with a static differentiated products model that focuses on heterogeneity across workers in their valuation of jobs at different employers. This differentiation endows firms with some power to set wages as in classic monopsony models.18
While empirical work on monopsony has experienced something of a renaissance (for a review, see Manning 2011), to our knowledge there has been little attempt to use these models to reconcile facts in the literature on matched employer-employee data. We show that static monopsony models can generate empirically plausible connections between firm productivity and wages, observationally equivalent to simple rent-sharing models such as equation (1). They also, under reasonable assumptions, generate the prediction that wages are additively separable in worker and firm heterogeneity, at least within broad skill groups.
A limitation of our framework relative to modern wage-posting models is that we assume that all between-firm heterogeneity arises from heterogeneity in TFP or differences in the elasticity of labor supply to the firm. While this allows us to focus on the links between dispersion in productivity and wages, it is important to remember that firms may also exhibit dispersion in wage policies for reasons having nothing to do with their production technology. Indeed, in the simplest version of Burdett and Mortensen’s (1998) model, firms are homogenous, and the identity of high-wage and low-wage firms is arbitrary.19
A. Market Structure
There are J firms and two types of workers: lower skilled (L) and higher skilled (H). Each firm posts a pair of skill-specific wages that all workers costlessly observe. Hence, in contrast to search models, workers are fully informed about job opportunities. As in many search models, however, we assume that firms will hire any worker (of appropriate quality) who is willing to accept a job at the posted wage.
Firms exhibit differentiated work environments over which workers have heterogeneous preferences. For worker i in skill group , the indirect utility of working at firm j is
B. Firm Optimization
Firms have production functions of the form
The firm’s problem is to post a pair of skill-specific wages that minimize the cost of labor services given knowledge of the supply functions (5) and (6). Firms cannot observe workers’ preference shocks {ϵiSj}, which prevents them from perfectly price discriminating against workers according to their idiosyncratic reservation values. The firm’s optimal wage choices solve the cost minimization problem
Note that firms post wages with knowledge of the shape of the skill-specific supply schedules but not the identities of the workers who comprise them. The last worker hired is indifferent about taking the job, but the other employees strictly prefer their job to outside alternatives. These inframarginal workers capture rents by means of an information asymmetry: they hide from their employer the fact that they would be willing to work for a lower wage.
We now derive results under various specifications of the production function and the firm’s marginal revenue function. On the technology side, we start with a simple baseline case where is linear in Lj and Hj. This corresponds to a standard efficiency units model of the labor market in which lower- and higher-skilled workers are perfect substitutes. We then consider the more general case where is a constant elasticity of substitution (CES) production function. On the revenue side, we initially assume that the firm faces a fixed output price. We then consider the more general case where the firm faces a constant elasticity product demand function.
C. Baseline Case: Linear Production Function and Fixed Output Price
To develop intuition, we begin with the simplest possible example, where the firm faces a fixed output price and has a linear production function

Effect of total factor productivity shock (single skill group). MFC = marginal factor cost.
To understand the implications of this model for the relative wage structure, suppose that the reference wages of the two skill groups are proportional to their relative productivities, so that
Note that under the linear technology assumption, value added per standardized unit of labor is , so is the ratio of value added per standardized unit of labor to the outside wage for a worker with 1 efficiency unit of labor. Equations (12) and (13) therefore imply that the elasticity of wages of skill group S with respect to value added per worker is
The estimated rent-sharing elasticities in Table 1 (and in our reanalysis of Portuguese data) indicate that a typical value of this elasticity is around 0.10, which suggests that the average value of βSRj is also around 0.10.23 Hence, an average worker earns about 10% higher wages than he or she would earn at the lowest-wage firms in the economy that have . This estimate of average rents earned per worker is remarkably consistent with the estimates of Card et al. (2016, their Table III) obtained by benchmarking wage premiums at firms in the Portuguese economy relative to the premiums paid by the least profitable firms in the country. By contrast, Hornstein et al. (2011) show that a wide class of search models have difficulty generating mean wages more than 5% above the lowest offered wage.
The elasticity of labor supply for skill group S when wages are determined by the first-order conditions (12) and (13) is
A key implication of equations (12) and (13) is that when , the relative wages of the two skill groups are independent of firm-specific productivity. To simplify the discussion, assume that βLRj and βHRj are both relatively small (i.e., on the order of 0.10). In such a case, the Taylor approximation
When , wages can be written in the form
When one group has a higher value of the supply parameter β, the log wage gap between workers in different skill groups will be higher at more profitable firms. In this case, the data will be described by an AKM-style model with skill group–specific firm effects. The wage premium for skill group S at firm j will be
1. Between-Firm Sorting
Even when and the wage gap between workers in the two skill groups is constant at any given firm, the market-wide average wage for each skill group will depend on their relative distribution across firms. In particular, equation (15) implies that the expected log wage for workers in skill group S is
Some simple evidence on the importance of the sorting component for the structure of wages for Portuguese male workers is presented in figure 10. Here, we plot the mean firm effects by age for Portuguese men in five different education groups. We normalize the estimated firm effects using the procedure described by Card et al. (2016), which sets the average firm effect to 0 for firms in (roughly) the bottom 15% of the distribution of log value added per worker. The figure shows two important features. First, within each education group, the mean firm effect associated with the jobs held by workers at different ages is increasing until about age 50 and then slightly decreasing.25 Thus, the life-cycle pattern of between-firm sorting contributes to the well-known shape of the life-cycle wage profile. Second, at all ages more highly educated workers are more likely to work at firms that pay higher wage premiums to all their workers. A significant share of the wage gap between men with different education levels is therefore attributable to differential sorting. Mean firm effects by age and education group for Portuguese males. Firm effects are normalized using the method of Card et al. (2016).
When the supply parameter β varies across groups, the wage decomposition will contain an additional term, reflecting a weighted average across firms of the rent-sharing components of the two skill groups:
D. Downward-Sloping Firm-Specific Product Demand
So far we have assumed that the firm is a price taker in its output market. Suppose now that the firm faces an inverse demand function , with giving the elasticity of product demand. This yields the marginal revenue function
The implied elasticity of wages of skill group S with respect to value added per standardized unit of labor is
When the firm faces a downward-sloping product demand, value added per efficiency unit of labor (vj) depends on the endogenous choice of output. In the appendix, we show that the elasticities of vj with respect to an exogenous shift in output demand (indexed by ) or an exogenous increase in productivity (indexed by Tj) are
E. Imperfect Substitution between Skill Groups
A limitation of our baseline model is that it assumes perfect substitutability between the two skill groups. We now extend the model by assuming that the firm’s output is a CES aggregate of high- and low-skilled labor:
Note that even when , log wages in this model are nonseparable in worker and firm heterogeneity. This is because firm heterogeneity in factor proportions leads to firm-specific wage-skill gaps of the sort usually analyzed at the market level (e.g., Katz and Murphy 1992). If skill types were observable, it would be natural to estimate such a model via nonlinear least squares using data on firm value added. With unobserved skill types, an interactive fixed effects specification would be required that allows the firm effects to depend on the unobserved skill ratio at the firm.
To derive the rent-sharing elasticities in this model, we define
The general effect of allowing imperfect substitution between L and H labor is to generate value added elasticities that are smaller than the rent shares τLj and τHj but of similar magnitudes. For example, consider a calibration with , , and an average workforce comprised of 60% L workers and 40% H workers. In this setup, a value of combined with and yields and , implying that lower-skilled workers earn a 10% wage premium relative to their outside wage while higher-skilled workers earn a 20% premium. The implied firm-specific labor supply elasticities of the two groups are 5 and 2, respectively, while the implied elasticities of their wages with respect to value added per worker are 0.05 and 0.11, respectively.
To summarize, a CES technology will give rise to generalized AKM models in which the wage differentials between different skill groups vary across firms, and the elasticity of wages with respect to value added per worker will also vary across groups and across firms, depending on the firm-specific skill employment shares at the firm. Nevertheless, the basic intuition of our benchmark model remains. In particular, a simple model of monopsonistic wage setting can explain the existence and quantitative magnitude of systematic firm wage premiums that are highly correlated across skill groups and highly correlated with measures of firm-specific productivity.
F. Relationship to Other Models and Open Questions
Although we have worked with a static model of employer differentiation, there are obvious benefits to considering more realistic dynamic models, not least of which is that they provide a rationale for the worker mobility typically used to estimate firm wage effects. Section A2 considers a simple dynamic extension of our framework that yields random mobility between firms and has essentially identical steady-state implications for wages and employment. However, it would be interesting to consider richer models where workers systematically climb a productivity job ladder and can spend some time unemployed. Another interesting extension would be to allow incumbent workers to face switching costs that lead firms to price discriminate against them. This could lead to offer-matching behavior (as in Postel-Vinay and Robin 2002) and to new predictions about recruitment and retention policies.
By assuming that the number of employers is very large, we have adopted a partial equilibrium framework with no strategic interactions between employers. With a finite number of firms, a shock to one firm’s productivity will affect the equilibrium employment and wages of competitor firms. Staiger, Spetz, and Phibbs (2010) provide compelling evidence of such responses in the market for nurses. As in the oligopoly literature, analysis of a finite employer model with strong strategic dependence may be complicated by the presence of multiple equilibria, which requires different methods for estimation (e.g., Ciliberto and Tamer 2009) but may also yield interesting policy implications.
Finally, it is worth noting some links between our modeling of workplace differentiation with the literature on compensating differentials for nonwage amenities (Rosen 1986; Hwang et al. 1998). In our model, nonwage amenities that are valued equally by all workers simply shift the intercept of the labor supply curve to the firm. But a monopsonist firm sets wages on the basis of the elasticity of labor supply to the firm, which is governed entirely by the distribution of taste heterogeneity. For this reason, our model exhibits no compensating differentials of the standard sort. Amenities affect firm effects only through their influence on TFP: a firm with attractive nonwage amenities will grow large, which should depress its revenue productivity and therefore lower its firm wage effect. Empirically distinguishing this effect, which is mediated through product prices, from the standard compensation mechanism is policy relevant, since the monopsony model will tend to imply a different incidence of, for example, employer-provided health benefits on workers than a compensating differentials model.
VI. Conclusions
There is no doubt that a large share of wage inequality is driven by differences in worker skills. But economists have long had evidence (e.g., Lester 1946; Slichter 1950) that employer characteristics exert an independent effect on wages. While the ability of firms to set wages is disciplined by market competition, there are clearly limits to those competitive forces, which also fail to eliminate productivity and output price differences across firms (Hsieh and Klenow 2009).
Modern search theory provides one rationale for the existence of wage-setting power (Mortensen 2005). But even without search frictions, firms will be able to set wages if (as seems likely) workers differ in their valuation of firms’ nonwage characteristics. While the mechanisms giving rise to market power under these two approaches are different, both imply that labor is supplied inelastically to firms, providing some scope to set wages. As noted by Manning (2011), such market power can generate a positive relationship between firm-specific productivity and wages that mimics models in which workers bargain with employers over wages. But in our setting, firms set wages unilaterally and rents are shared only because of information asymmetries. We believe that this alternative explanation for what the literature has called rent sharing is more plausible than one based on worker bargaining power, particularly in economies that lack strong unions and in settings (like Portugal) where most firms pay wages above those required by sectoral bargaining agreements. Indeed, structural estimates of worker bargaining strength are often quite low (e.g., Cahuc et al. 2006). One interesting implication of a monopsony-based explanation for the link between productivity and wages is that there is no holdup problem in the firm’s investment decision, a prediction consistent with the empirical findings of Card et al. (2014).
The empirical literature on firm wage inequality has progressed dramatically with the introduction of huge matched employer-employee data sets. Yet significant challenges remain. The field continues to rely almost exclusively on observational studies predicated on plausible—but ultimately debatable—identifying assumptions. More research is needed using research designs that can credibly identify the causal link from firm-specific shocks to workers’ wages. Another outstanding goal is the development of studies that directly manipulate incentives for workers to leave and join particular firms, as in the innovative experimental design of Dal Bó, Finan, and Rossi (2013). Such designs can be used to rigorously assess the degree of bias in observational firm-switching designs.
While research on labor market inequality typically strives for general explanations of national trends, the way forward in this literature may not involve a theory of everything but rather more attention to the institutional details of particular labor markets. This is the tradition in the industrial organization literature, where studies generally focus on particular industries rather than the economy as a whole. It is plausible that firms have more wage-setting power in some labor markets than others and that the nature of firm wage versus nonwage competition differs as well. A key empirical problem is how to define the labor market of interest both geographically and with respect to skills. In the immigration literature, for example, there is debate over whether labor markets are effectively national or local and over how to classify different age, education, and national origin groups.27 Manning and Petrongolo (2011) develop a spatial job search model where markets can be geographically overlapping. Fitting their model to spatially detailed data on job applications and vacancies, they find that workers are discouraged from searching in areas with strong competition from other job seekers and that shocks to local neighborhoods can yield important ripple effects on labor market activity in nearby areas.28 New case studies of settings where the market structure of labor demand can be carefully documented would be particularly useful.29
Finally, the idea that even highly advanced labor markets, like that of the United States, might be better characterized as imperfectly competitive opens a host of questions about the welfare implications of industrial policies and labor market institutions, such as the minimum wage, unemployment insurance, and employment protection (Katz and Summers 1989; Acemoglu 2001; Coles and Mortensen 2016). Empirical work lags particularly far behind the theory in this domain. Additional evidence on how actual labor market policies affect firm and worker behavior is needed to assess the plausibility of these theoretical policy arguments.
Appendix
A1. Derivations
A1.1. Downward-Sloping Product Demand
Let represent the elasticity of total labor efficiency units with respect to low-skilled labor, and notice that the elasticity of labor inputs with respect to high-skilled labor is . Suppose that the elasticities of wages of the two groups with respect to value added per worker are ξLj and ξHj, respectively, and that eL and eH are the elasticities of labor supply of the two groups to the firm. Since the firm’s labor input choices are constrained by the labor supply functions of L and H labor, the elasticity of total labor input with respect to a shift in value added per worker is
A1.2. Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) Technology
We now extend the model by assuming that the firm’s production f is in the CES class, so the labor input at firm j is
The first-order conditions (20) and (21) can be written as
A2. Two-Period Model of Supply
Here we consider a two-period extension of our static framework. A worker i of type S faces indirect utility over firms of
Clearly, as , the labor supply function becomes static. Otherwise, we have a partial adjustment process that yields heterogeneity in the labor supply elasticity, depending on how far is from . In a steady state these two objects will be the same, and the elasticity of supply to each firm simplifies to times the usual static elasticity eSj.
Therefore, we can think about the steady state of a dynamic model with taste shocks as one where firms face a supply curve with elasticity and set wages accordingly. As before, firms cannot observe workers’ preferences. Hence, employee threats to leave in response to taste shocks will not be viewed as credible by the firm, despite the firm’s knowledge that a fraction of workers did in fact draw new tastes. Because the firm cannot budge in its wage policy, each period will yield a fraction of workers switching between firms.
| Study | Design Features | Measure of Profitability | Elasticity |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Industry-level profit measures: | |||
| Christofides and Oswald 1992 | Canadian union contracts; 120 narrowly defined manufacturing industries | Industry profits/worker (wage changes) | .07 |
| Blanchflower et al. 1996 | US individual wage data (CPS), grouped to industry × year cells; manufacturing only | Industry profits/worker (within-industry changes) | .01–.06 |
| Estevao and Tevlin 2003 | US manufacturing industry data; adjusted for labor quality; instrument for value added = demand shocks in downstream sectors | Value added per worker (first differences) | .29 |
| Profit per worker (first differences) | .14 | ||
| B. Firm-level profit measures, average firm-level wages: | |||
| Abowd and Lemieux 1993 | Canadian union contracts merged to corporate accounts; instruments for revenues = industry selling prices, import and export prices | Quasi rent/worker (wage change model) | .22 |
| Van Reenen 1996 | Large British manufacturing firms merged with corporate accounts; instruments for rents = innovations, imports, research and development, industry concentration | Quasi rent/worker (wage change model) | .29 |
| Hildreth and Oswald 1997 | British firms (EXSTAT); firm-specific profits (from financial statements); instruments = lagged values of wages and profits | Profit per worker | .02 |
| Hildreth 1998 | British manufacturing establishments; establishment-specific value added; instruments for rents = innovation measure | Quasi rent/worker | .03 |
| Barth et al. 2016 | US establishments in LBD; establishment-specific revenues; instrument for revenues/worker = revenues/worker in same industry, other regions | Sales/worker (within-establishment changes) | .32 (OLS) .16 (IV) |
| C. Individual wages and firm-level profit measures: | |||
| Margolis and Salvanes 2001 | Worker and firm data for France and Norway; full-time male workers in manufacturing; profit from financial filings; instruments = sales/worker and subsidies/worker | Profit per worker | .03 (France) .01 (Norway) |
| Arai 2003 | Swedish worker panel matched to employer (10-year stayers design); profits from financial statements | Change in 5-year average profit per worker | .01–.02 |
| Guiso et al. 2005 | Italian worker panel matched to larger firms; value added from financial statements; model-based decomposition of value-added shocks | Permanent shock to log value added per worker | .07 |
| Transitory shock to log value added per worker | .00 | ||
| Fakhfakh and FitzRoy 2004 | Larger French manufacturing establishments; value added from establishment survey | Mean log value added/worker over past 3 years | .12 |
| Du Caju, Rycx, and Tojerow 2011 | Belgian establishment panel; value added and labor cost from financial statements | Value added minus labor costs per worker | .03–.04 |
| Martins 2009 | Larger Portuguese manufacturing firms; revenue and capital costs from financial statements; instruments = export share of sales × exchange rate changes | Revenue-capital costs/worker (differenced) | .03–.05 |
| Gürtzgen 2009 | German establishment/worker panel (LIAB) value added from establishment survey; instruments for change in quasi rent = lags of value added and wages | Quasi rent/worker (no adjustment for capital) | .03–.04 |
| Change in quasi rent/worker (stayers design) | .01–.06 | ||
| Cardoso and Portela 2009 | Portuguese worker panel; sales from firm reports; model-based decomposition of sales shocks | Permanent shock to log sales | .09 |
| Transitory shock to log sales | .00 | ||
| Arai and Heyman 2009 | Swedish worker/firm panel; profits from financial statements; stayers design; instrument = change in foreign sales | Change in profit per worker | .07 |
| Card et al. 2014 | Italian worker panel matched to firms; value added and capital from financial statements; instrument for value added = sales/worker at firms in other regions | Value added per worker (within job match) | .06–.08 |
| Carlsson et al. 2014 | Swedish worker panel matched to firms; mining and manufacturing only; firm-specific output and selling price indexes; instruments for productivity = indexes of firm-specific and sectoral TFPQ | Firm-specfic output/worker (within job match) | .05 |
| Sectoral average output/worker (within job match) | .15 | ||
| Card et al. 2016 | Portuguese worker panel matched to firms; value added and capital from financial statements; wage measure = estimated firm effect from AKM model | Mean value added per worker | .16 (males) .14 (females) |
| Mean value added per worker (changes for stayers) | .05 (males) .04 (females) | ||
| Bagger et al. 2014 | Danish worker panel matched to firms; output from firm survey; nonparametric regressions within sector of wages on labor productivity | Output per worker | .09 (manufacturing) .13 (trade) .05 (transp./comm.) .07 (finance/real estate) |
Notes
We are extremely grateful to Raffaele Saggio for assistance in preparing this paper and to Katherine Shaw and David Green for helpful suggestions on an early draft. Ana Rute Cardoso acknowledges financial support from the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (Severo Ochoa Programme for Centres of Excellence in Research and Development grant SEV-2015-0563) and the Research Council of Norway (Europe in Transition funding scheme project 227072/F10 at the Centre for the Study of Equality, Social Organization, and Performance). Contact the corresponding author, David Card, at [email protected]. Information concerning access to the data used in this paper is available in a zip file.
1 This market-wide perspective is also common in economic models of discrimination, which typically have no role for firm-specific factors to affect the wages of female or minority workers (see, e.g., Charles and Guryan 2008, 2011).
2 In their review of monopsony models, Boal and Ransom (1997) refer to this as the case of classic differentiation.
3 This equation can be derived by assuming that workers as a group bargain with the firm to maximize a weighted product of profits and the excess wage bill , where the weight on the wage bill is γ. See, e.g., de Menil (1971). Strictly speaking, this derivation assumes that is exogenous to the level of wages, as is the case when employment and capital are efficiently determined by joint bargaining. See Svejnar (1986) and Card, Devicienti, and Maida (2014) for a related discussion of potential holdup problems in the determination of capital.
4 Again, this is true only under the assumption that the levels of value added and quasi rents are exogenously determined, as in an efficient bargaining model. More generally, the ratio of value added per worker to quasi rent per worker can depend on the wage.
5 We extract an IV estimate when one is available and convert elasticities with respect to profit per worker or quasi rent per worker to a value added per worker basis by multiplying by 2.
6 Businesses in Portugal are required to file income statements and balance sheet information annually at their local Commercial Registry (Conservatoria do Registro Comercial). These reports are publicly accessible and are collected by financial service firms and assembled into the SABI database. We merge SABI and QP using information on detailed location, industry, firm creation date, shareholder equity, and annual sales that are available in both data sets. See Card et al. (2016) for more information on the matching process.
7 A similar finding is reported by Card et al. (2014) using Italian data.
8 If measurement errors in value added per worker in year t are uncorrelated with errors or fluctuations in sales per worker in years and , then the use of a bracketing instrument will eliminate the effect of measurement error in value added. We suspect that this is only partially true, so the IV approach reduces but does not fully eliminate the effect of errors in value added.
9 A third potential explanation is selection bias in the stayer models, induced by selecting a sample of job stayers. Results presented by Card et al. (2016, their table B10) suggest that this factor is relatively small.
10 For example, Abowd, Lengermann, and McKinney (2003) find that firm effects comprise 17% of the variance of US wages. Card, Heining, and Kline (2013) find that establishment effects explain between 18% and 21% of the variance of the wages of German men, depending on the time period studied. Card et al. (2016) find that firm effects explain 20% of the variance of hourly wages for Portuguese men and 17% of the variance for women. Macis and Schivardi (2016) find that firm effects explain 15% of the wage variance of Italian manufacturing workers. Finally, Lavetti and Schmutte (2016) find that establishment effects explain 21% of the variance of wages of workers in the formal sector in Brazil.
11 For example, as shown in figure 3a–3c of Card and Cardoso (2012), the age profile of wages for Portuguese men tends to be relatively flat after age 40.
12 Abowd et al. (2003) impose a normalization on the experience profiles in their estimation of an AKM model for the Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics data that leads to large variances of the αi and components and a large negative covariance (), similar to the pattern in col. 4.
13 Letting n(.) denote the standard normal density, we use basis functions of the form , where .
14 For example, Andrews et al. (2008) compute bias corrections in a linked sample of German workers and establishments under the assumption that the transitory errors in wages are homoscedastic and serially uncorrelated. They find that the corrections have little effect on the estimated correlation between worker and firm effects. However, subsequent results by Andrews et al. (2012) show large biases in the estimated correlation when the AKM model is estimated on subsamples as large as 30% of the data.
15 The sample used by Card et al. (2016) is slightly different than the sample of firms with financial data that we use in this paper, so the adding-up constraint does not have to hold exactly. However, in all cases it holds approximately.
16 Cardoso and Portela (2009) find evidence for this pattern using Portuguese worker-firm data derived from the QP.
17 As discussed in Sec. I, value added per worker will in general depend on the quality of the workforce. For example, if , where Lj and Hj are the numbers of low- and high-skilled workers employed at the firm, and , then , where is a measure of the quality of the workforce at firm j. The expected slope of a regression of the log of the relative share of highly educated workers on the log of value added per worker is therefore positive, even if there is no correlation between TFP and the share of highly educated workers.
18 In this respect, our approach is akin to the classic Albrecht-Axell (1984) model of wage posting with leisure heterogeneity. However, because we allow for continuous heterogeneity in worker preferences, firms are not indifferent between wage strategies and will mark wages down below marginal product, according to the usual monopsonistic pricing rule. Our assumption that firms are ignorant about worker reservation values lies in contrast to the model of Postel-Vinay and Robin (2002), who assume that firms observe a worker’s outside option and offer wages that make them indifferent about accepting jobs.
19 We have also ignored efficiency wage explanations for firm wage premia, which can emerge, e.g., as a result of monitoring problems. See Akerlof and Yellen (1986) and Katz (1986) for reviews and Piyapromdee (2013) for an attempt to combine efficiency wage mechanisms with wage-posting models.
20 A potentially important distinction across worker subgroups is the relative magnitude of their variation in idiosyncratic preferences. For example, assume that , where τS is larger for groups with a wider variation in idiosyncratic preferences and ϵiSj is again extreme value distributed. This gives rise to the same choice probabilities as preferences .
21 Berry and Pakes (2007) contrast demand models, where consumers have idiosyncratic preferences for specific products, with what they term the “pure characteristics” model, where consumers care about only a finite set of product characteristics. In the latter case, as the number of products grows large, the demand elasticity tends to infinity, a phenomenon discussed in the labor market setting by Boal and Ransom (1997). We suspect that the pure characteristics model is less applicable to the worker’s choice of employer because of the many nonpecuniary aspects of work that can give rise to match effects. For example, no two employers have exactly the same location and workplace culture. However, which model works better empirically is clearly an important question for future research.
22 This specification is appropriate if the user cost of capital and the prices of intermediate inputs are fixed and the firm’s output is a Cobb-Douglas function of these factors and the labor aggregate . In this case, capital and intermediate inputs will adjust proportionally to .
23 This is an approximation because the model implies that rent-sharing elasticities vary systematically across firms in relationship to productivity. Supposing, for simplicity, that an average elasticity is being reported in empirical studies, the approximation that will be accurate when the distribution of ξSj is bounded from above by a number far below 1.
24 While Table 4 regresses the firm effects on , the above analysis suggests that ψj should be nearly linear in vj, with a coefficient of approximately . In practice, Card et al. (2016) find that AKM firm effects are instead approximately linear in above a minimal threshold level.
25 Topel and Ward (1992) showed that job-to-job mobility was an important component of wage growth for young men in the US labor market. They interpreted their finding as mainly arising from gains in the job-match component of wages rather than as systematic mobility to firms that pay higher wages to all workers.
26 Defining , note that and . Thus, when , .
27 For example, Borjas (2003) argues for national labor markets categorized into five education classes, with no distinction between immigrants and natives, whereas Card (2009) and Ottaviano and Peri (2012) argue for city-level markets categorized into two education classes but stratified by immigrant origin.
28 Recent research on trade shocks (e.g., Autor, Dorn, and Hansen 2013) and the effects of the Great Recession (e.g., Yagan 2016) shows surprising large and persistent effects of localized shocks, consistent with the idea that the elasticity of supply to local labor markets is relatively inelastic.
29 For example, the empirical literature on monopsony has focused on the market for nurses (e.g., Staiger et al. 2010) and teachers (e.g., Ransom and Sims 2010; Falch 2011) on the basis of a presumption that firms have more wage-setting power in these occupational labor markets. By contrast, Ashenfelter and Hannan (1986) and Black and Strahan (2001) use the product market to define their labor market of interest: they study the effects of banking deregulation on the gender composition and relative wages of bank employees.
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